At Horizon 2045,
we develop collaborative processes for learning and leading across existential threats.
Global leaders face near-term decisions with long-term consequences.
How will changes in environmental rules and norms reshape systems of human and planetary security?
What new governance models and/or institutions do we need?
What does multilateralism look like in the face of interconnected, borderless threats?
How will we advance peace-building at a time of rising authoritarianism, climate crisis, and a new nuclear arms race?
To understand what’s possible, we first need to understand what’s changing.
We’re building tools to accelerate leaders’ ability to tackle entangled challenges—from their root causes and interdependencies to the solution spaces they hold common.
We’re an interdisciplinary team that forged an understanding of the interconnectedness of existential threats by starting with one of the hardest problems we could find: nuclear weapons.
In the process, we learned that many of the behaviors and mental models driving the nuclear weapons system underpin other entrenched systems as well. We realized that every existential threat we face—from catastrophic climate change to grim biodiversity loss, from nuclear weapons to pandemics, from rising autocracy to uncontrolled AI—requires that we ask ourselves the very same questions about human responsibility, our obligations to the planet and to one another, and our relationship with future generations.
The processes we’ve developed to support decision-making in the polycrisis reflect our best answers to those questions.